Volume 34, Issue 6 p. 1120-1137
Special Issue Article
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Comparing predictive validity in a community sample: High-dimensionality and traditional domain-and-facet structures of personality variation

Gerard Saucier

Corresponding Author

Gerard Saucier

University of Oregon, USA

Correspondence to:

Gerard Saucier, University of Oregon, USA.

E-mail: gsaucier@uoregon.edu

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Kathryn Iurino

Kathryn Iurino

University of Oregon, USA

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Amber Gayle Thalmayer

Amber Gayle Thalmayer

University of Lausanne, Switzerland

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First published: 13 February 2020
Citations: 2

The authors are grateful to Lewis R. Goldberg for years of dedicated work creating and maintaining the Eugene-Springfield Sample and the International Personality Item Pool, and to Carrie Bettenhausen for research assistance. Pregistrations associated with this article are found at: https://osf.io/7an35/, https://osf.io/2dhqb/, https://osf.io/vq8mu/, and https://osf.io/hxtb8/. Eugene-Springfield Community Sample data is accessible via Harvard Dataverse.

Abstract

Prediction of outcomes is an important way of distinguishing, among personality models, the best from the rest. Prominent previous models have tended to emphasize multiple internally consistent “facet” scales subordinate to a few broad domains. But such an organization of measurement may not be optimal for prediction. Here, we compare the predictive capacity and efficiency of assessments across two types of personality-structure model: conventional structures of facets as found in multiple platforms, and new high-dimensionality structures emphasizing those based on natural-language adjectives, in particular lexicon-based structures of 20, 23, and 28 dimensions. Predictions targeted 12 criterion variables related to health and psychopathology, in a sizeable American community sample. Results tended to favor personality-assessment platforms with (at least) a dozen or two well-selected variables having minimal intercorrelations, without sculpting of these to make them function as indicators of a few broad domains. Unsurprisingly, shorter scales, especially when derived from factor analyses of the personality lexicon, were shown to take a more efficient route to given levels of predictive capacity. Popular 20th-century personality-assessment models set out influential but suboptimal templates, including one that first identifies domains and then facets, which compromise the efficiency of measurement models, at least from a comparative-prediction standpoint. © 2020 European Association of Personality Psychology

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This article earned Preregistered + Analysis Plan badge through Open Practices Disclosure from the Center for Open Science: https://osf.io/tvyxz/wiki. The permanent path to the registration is openly accessible at https://osf.io/hxtb8/?view_only=9fa10ba7dc7e47afa2f5b54419e686df. Author's disclosure form may also be found at the Supporting Information in the online version.

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