Volume 49, Issue 2 p. 299-346
Original Article

The Dilemma of International Diversification: Evidence from the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Bill B. Francis

Corresponding Author

Bill B. Francis

Lally School of Management, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, United States

Corresponding author: Lally School of Management, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Troy, NY 12180, United States. Tel: +1-518-276-3908, email: francb@rpi.edu.

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Iftekhar Hasan

Iftekhar Hasan

Fordham University, United States

Bank of Finland, Finland

University of Sydney, Australia

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Gergana L. Kostova

Gergana L. Kostova

AIG Group, United States

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Sami Ben Naceur

Sami Ben Naceur

International Monetary Fund, United States

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First published: 14 April 2020
The authors are thankful to an anonymous reviewer, the editors (L. K. Ng and K. Park), R. Alsakka, and O. A. Gwilym for helpful comments and guidance. The usual caveats apply.

Abstract

This paper tests how capital markets value the international diversification of banks in good and in bad economic times by investigating changes in domestic and foreign sovereign debt ratings before and during the European sovereign debt crisis. Tracing 320 European banks in 29 countries and 226 credit rating announcements for European sovereigns between 1 January 2001 and 15 August 2012, we show that the market values banks with access to foreign funds. Despite occasional adverse effects immediately following negative news regarding sovereign credit rating changes, international diversification was found to be beneficial to European banks, especially during periods of distress.

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