Volume 56, Issue 2 p. 331-353
ORIGINAL ARTICLE

The role of asymmetry and dynamics in carry trade and general financial markets

Chang-Che Wu

Chang-Che Wu

College of Business, Yango University, Fuzhou, China

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MeiChi Huang

MeiChi Huang

Department of Business Administration, National Taipei University, New Taipei City, Taiwan

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Chih-Chiang Wu

Corresponding Author

Chih-Chiang Wu

Discipline of Finance, College of Management, Yuan Ze University, Taoyuan, Taiwan

Correspondence

Chih-Chiang Wu, Discipline of Finance, College of Management, Yuan Ze University, 135 Yuan-Tung Road, Chungli, Taoyuan, Taiwan 320.

Email: chihchiang@saturn.yzu.edu.tw

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First published: 18 August 2020
Citations: 2

Abstract

This study investigates asymmetric dependence and its dynamics across returns to carry trades, stocks, and bonds using a copula-based model. We show evidence for a significant increase in carry trade-stock dependence and substantially negative carry trade-bond and stock-bond comovements since the 2007–2008 global financial crisis. We also assess the out-of-sample predictability of dependence in the context of asset-allocation strategies, and find that risk-averse investors obtain significant economic values by incorporating asymmetry and dynamics into dependence timing, particularly in the 2007–2008 crisis. These findings provide new implications for asset-allocation strategies and risk management during turbulent market phases.

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