Volume 30, Issue 4 p. 1337-1367
ORIGINAL ARTICLE

Risk functionals with convex level sets

Ruodu Wang

Ruodu Wang

Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada

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Yunran Wei

Corresponding Author

Yunran Wei

Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Northern Illinois University, DeKalb, Illinois, USA

Correspondence

Yunran Wei, Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Northern Illinois University, 1425 Lincoln Hwy, DeKalb, IL, USA 60115-2828.

Email: ywei1@niu.edu

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First published: 27 May 2020
Citations: 12

Funding information

The Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC), RGPIN-2018-03823, RGPAS-2018-522590, RGPIN-2016-03654; the Society of Actuaries; the Munich Reinsurance Company of Canada

Abstract

We analyze the “convex level sets” (CxLS) property of risk functionals, which is a necessary condition for the notions of elicitability, identifiability, and backtestability, popular in the recent statistics and risk management literature. We put the CxLS property in the multidimensional setting, with a special focus on signed Choquet integrals, a class of risk functionals that are generally not monotone or convex. We obtain two main analytical results in dimension one and dimension two, by characterizing the CxLS property of all one-dimensional signed Choquet integrals, and that of all two-dimensional signed Choquet integrals with a quantile component. Using these results, we proceed to show that under some continuity assumption, a comonotonic-additive coherent risk measure is co-elicitable with Value-at-Risk if and only if it is the corresponding Expected Shortfall. The new findings generalize several results in the recent literature, and partially answer an open question on the characterization of multidimensional elicitability.

DATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT

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